Wednesday, November 11, 2009

NFL Week 10 Picks ATS

One and one with the new system last week. One of the changes to the system included a more robust strength of schedule ranking. At this point in the season according to the Mac Daddy Strength of Schedule ranking (MD SOS) the strongest five schedules in order are: Miami, Cleveland, Atlanta, Jets & Tennessee. The weakest schedules in order are: Washington, Phili, Green Bay, Jacksonville, Dallas. With this weeks pick I have indicated the respective MD SOS and the Overall Team Rating of each team.

Cincinnati +7 at Pittsburgh
MD SOS (rank): Cincinnati 7, Pittsburgh 22
Overall Team Rating: Cincinnati 25.78, Pittsburgh 24.45

MD SOS and Overall Team Rank comparable to Jeff Sagarin NFL ratings:
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/nfl09.htm?loc=interstitialskip


The Mac Daddy ratings are comparable to Sagarin's pure points, only they are a hybrid of pure points and a weighted average rating giving more weight toward recently played games.

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