NFL Picks ATS Week 4 2009

5-2 so far in 2009. No five star picks this week so I will throw out this parley of two good but sub 5-star picks instead:

Oakland +9 at HOUSTON
&
DENVER +3 vs. Dallas

NFL Week 3 NFL Picks ATS

4-1 in 2009. One pick in Week 3:

TAMPA BAY +7 vs. NY Giants

ADD:

PHILADELPHIA -7.5 vs. Kansas City

NFL Picks ATS Week 2 2009

3-1 in week 1. One pick in Week 2:

NY JETS +3.5 vs. New England

NFL Picks Week 1 2009

There was absolutely no thought that went into these picks. That is because they all come straight from the output of a spreadsheet which has been perfected over the past 10 years. By perfected I mean it has produced a record of approximately 60% over that period. Some of that may be the product of data mining so I feel more confident making the claim that each pick listed here has a 55% chance of winning. The estimated number of annual picks is about 20 so take advantage of these 4. The likely range of possible annual results is between one game under .500 and 10 games over. I used to look at the pick and then look stuff up to justify it for readers however, this year I plan to take a different approach. If anyone happens to stumble upon this blog and has even the most remote interest in analyzing NFL games against the spread, please use the comments section to tell me why I am right about one or more of these four dogs.

TAMPA BAY +6 vs. Dallas
Buffalo +10.5 at NEW ENGLAND
OAKLAND +9 vs. San Diego
Denver +4 at CINCINNATI