NFL WEEK 17 Picks ATS 2009

Week 17 Picks
New England +8 at HOUSTON
NY Giants +9 at MINNESOTA

Week 17 Picks - Current Rankings (Rank)
New England - 28 (1)
Houston - 23 (10)
NY Giants - 19.5 (19)
Minnesota - 20 (17)

Week 17 Picks - Strength of Schedule (Rank)
New England - 21 (7)
Houston - 19.5 (23)
NY Giants - 21 (6)
Minnesota - 18.5 (30)

Pick Commentary
Week 17 picks are always a bit more risky causing me to withhold Mac Daddy suggestions, but even with the unpredictability of Week 17 I still like these two. New England is now the number 1 ranked team by the system and doesn't have a history of taking weeks off. Minnesota had reason to and badly wanted to win last week in Chicago too.... are we adjusting spreads by 9 points for home field these days? Mac Daddy also wanted to throw out the following picks for some possible side action.

A Few Fun Favorites
DALLAS -3 vs Philadelphia, CLEVELAND -1.5 vs Jacksonville, Chicago -3 at DETROIT

Top 4 Teams by Current Rank
1) New England
2) Dallas
3) San Diego
4) Indianapolis

Check back in next week to get the complete list of ratings for all playoff teams, plus the best of those who failed to make it.

NFL Week 16 Picks ATS

Baltimore +2.5 at PITTSBURGH

Pittsburgh's rating went up a lot after last weeks win, but they still are overrated. I actually hope they win this week because it I think they playoffs would be more fun with them in it, however, their has been little evidence to suggest that they can beat Baltimore who is playing very well right now. You can say Baltimore is doing it against inferior opponents like Chicago, but then again the Bears already beat Pittsburgh this year.

ATS NFL Picks Week 15 2009

Week 15 Picks
Green Bay +2 at PITTSBURGH
WASHINGTON +3 vs. NY Giants

2-0 last week. Somebody has to actually be betting on Pittsburgh for these lines to continue to be so far off. New Flash: Pittsburgh is not who you thought they were. For some reason some people like to use year old data when they there is better more recent data available. i.e. Pittsburgh Won the Super Bowl vs. Pittsburgh is 6-7 with one of the easiest schedules in the league to date.

Strength of Schedule (1 is strongest, 32 is weakest)
Green Bay 31, Pittsburgh 30
Washington 27, NY Giants 11

Team Rating (Rank)
Green Bay 23.5 (9), Pittsburgh 18 (23)
Washington 21 (15), NY Giants 20 (19)

NFL ATS Picks Week 14 2009

Picks:
CLEVELAND +10 v. Pittsburgh
Carolina +13.5 at NEW ENGLAND

Strength of Schedule Ranking:
Cleveland 5
Pittsburgh 30
Carolina 4
New England 10

Overal Team Ranking:
Cleveland 28
Pittsburgh 21
Carolina 20
New England 4

NFL Picks ATS Week 13 2009

The streak ended but still 1-1 isn't bad. One pick this week:

Week 13 Pick:
ATLANTA +5.5 vs. Philadelphia

Team Ratings:
Atlanta and Phili are right next to each other in the middle of the pack at 20.44 and 21.33, respectively. Note: Ratings and hence picks are based on historical performance so they do not take into consideration the fact that Matt Ryan is out. Generally I believe the impact of injuries is overrated.

Strength of Schedule Rank:
Atlanta 8, Philadelphia 25

Ranking Highlights:
New Orleans, Indy an Minnesota have separated themselves at the top with ratings of 30, 27, and 27 and St. Louis and Detroit round out the bottom with ratings of 11 and 10.