NFL Week 12 Picks ATS

3 in a row, hopefully tomorrow we will be giving thanks for increasing that to 5 thanks to these Thanksgiving specials:

WEEK 12 Picks:

Oakland +13.5 at DALLAS

DENVER +6.5 vs. NY Giants

NFL Picks ATS Week 11 2009

With last weeks cover by Cinci Mac Daddy has confirmed that he likes his new system. With this weeks picks he confirms that he hates Pittsburgh. This will be the third week in a row that he has picked against them... is somebody jealous. Not really, he is just a spreadsheet, I think it has more to do with their 6-3 record with one of the easiest schedules in the league thus far. My guess is that they will continue to be overrated by the betting public all season or at least until they start winning games convincingly enough to justify an elite rating. This weeks picks:

Week 11 Picks:
KANSAS CITY +10 vs. Pittsburgh
Atlanta +6.5 at NY GIANTS

Mac Daddy Strength of Schedules:
KC 23, Pittsburgh 28, Atlanta 3, NY Giants 19

Mac Daddy Team Ratings:
KC 15.12, Pittsburgh 22.12, Atlanta 21.59, NY Giants, 19.46

Highest Team Ratings:
NE 27.2, Cincinnati 26

Lowest Team Ratings:
Cleveland 12, Oakland 11.8

NFL Week 10 Picks ATS

One and one with the new system last week. One of the changes to the system included a more robust strength of schedule ranking. At this point in the season according to the Mac Daddy Strength of Schedule ranking (MD SOS) the strongest five schedules in order are: Miami, Cleveland, Atlanta, Jets & Tennessee. The weakest schedules in order are: Washington, Phili, Green Bay, Jacksonville, Dallas. With this weeks pick I have indicated the respective MD SOS and the Overall Team Rating of each team.

Cincinnati +7 at Pittsburgh
MD SOS (rank): Cincinnati 7, Pittsburgh 22
Overall Team Rating: Cincinnati 25.78, Pittsburgh 24.45

MD SOS and Overall Team Rank comparable to Jeff Sagarin NFL ratings:
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/nfl09.htm?loc=interstitialskip


The Mac Daddy ratings are comparable to Sagarin's pure points, only they are a hybrid of pure points and a weighted average rating giving more weight toward recently played games.

Week 9 ATS NFL Picks

A coin can come up heads 10 times in a row even though it is improbable, likewise a perfectly good system can have 5 losses in a row. Even though I fully I understand that I thought it would be more fun to just blow up the old spreadsheet and start anew which is what I have done. Let me introduce to you Mac Daddy (I like the name as is so I would prefer not to mess with it by adding a 2.0 or some crap like that, besides if I did that it would be more like Mac Daddy 20.0 by this time anyway). Anyway, without further ado for this week the new Mac Daddy with the same old name recommends the following:

DENVER +3 vs. Pittsburgh
Miami +10.5 at NEW ENGLAND